Aleksandar Rakic will battle Azamat Murzakanov at UFC 321 on Saturday, October 25, 2025. The moneyline has Rakic coming in at -110 while Murzakanov is coming in at -110.

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Perennial light heavyweight title contender Aleksandar Rakic (14-5) looks to snap his three-fight skid at UFC 321 against Azamat Murzakanov (15-0). It is time to continue our UFC odds series with an Aleksandar Rakic-Azamat Murzakanov prediction and pick.

Rakic, 33, is ending a year-long layoff after dropping a unanimous decision to eventual champion Magomed Ankalaev at UFC 308. The loss was his third consecutive and fourth in his last six fights. Rakic has not won a fight since March 2021, as a torn ACL and two ensuing losses have set his title aspirations back.

Murzakanov, 36, is one of the few rising contenders in the light heavyweight division. The undefeated knockout artist enters the most high-profile matchup of his career with a 5-0 UFC record since earning a contract on Dana White's Contender Series in 2021. The Russian is coming off a first-round knockout of Brendson Ribeiro at UFC 316 in June.

Here are the UFC 321 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.

UFC 321 Odds: Aleksandar Rakic-Azamat Murzakanov Odds
Aleksandar Rakic: -105

Azamat Murzakanov: -115

Over 2.5 rounds: -120

Under 2.5 rounds: -110

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Why Aleksandar Rakic Will Win
Rakic is riding a three-fight skid, but each of his recent losses has come against former or eventual champions. All three fighters — Ankalaev, Jiri Prochazka and Jan Blachowicz — would also go on to fight for the title in their next outing. Murzakanov is undefeated, but he would still be the worst loss of Rakic's career if his undefeated record remained intact at UFC 321.

Murzakanov has run roughshod through the unranked light heavyweights in the UFC, but that does not say much at this point. The 205-pound division is notoriously top-heavy, allowing ‘The Professional' to blow through subpar competition with virtually one punch each time out. Three losses to elite competition have convinced fans to forget how much of a specimen Rakic was once viewed as.

Rakic possesses a rare blend of size, speed and athleticism that Murzakanov has yet to see. Murzakanov has power, but he is vastly undersized for the division. Rakic will own a whopping six-inch height and five-inch reach advantage in the Octagon.

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